How far were government policies during the 1920s responsible for the Great Crash?
Level
AS LEVEL
Year Examined
2021
Topic
The Great Crash, the Great Depression and the New Deal policies, 1920–41
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How far were government policies during the 1920s responsible for the Great Crash?
How Far Were Government Policies During the 1920s Responsible for the Great Crash?
The 1920s witnessed an unprecedented economic boom in the United States, characterized by industrial growth, mass consumption, and soaring stock prices. However, this era of prosperity came to an abrupt end with the Wall Street Crash of 1929, plunging the country into the Great Depression. While government policies during the 1920s undoubtedly played a role in creating the conditions that led to the crash, other factors, such as overproduction and rampant speculation, were also significant contributors.
Impact of Government Policies
One of the most significant ways in which government policies contributed to the crash was through their impact on international trade. The Fordney-McCumber Tariff Act of 1922, which raised tariffs on imported goods, provoked retaliatory tariffs from European countries. This stifled American exports and contributed to a global economic slowdown. As the historian Paul Edwards argues, "The tariff war of the 1920s was a major factor in the collapse of international trade that helped bring on the Great Depression" (Edwards, 2000).
Furthermore, the laissez-faire economic policies of the Republican administrations of Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, and Herbert Hoover, which favored minimal government intervention in the economy, created an environment ripe for speculation and risky financial practices. The lack of regulation in the banking industry, for instance, led to a proliferation of small, poorly capitalized banks that were ill-equipped to withstand financial shocks.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates low during the early 1920s, while intended to stimulate economic growth, inadvertently fueled the stock market bubble. As money became cheaper to borrow, investors poured funds into the stock market, driving up prices to unsustainable levels.
Other Contributing Factors
While government policies were undoubtedly a contributing factor, it is crucial to acknowledge the role of other factors in precipitating the Great Crash. Overproduction, both in the agricultural and industrial sectors, created a glut of goods that could not be absorbed by the market. Advances in farming techniques led to increased agricultural output, but demand for agricultural products stagnated, leading to falling prices and widespread rural poverty.
Similarly, mass production techniques in industries like automobiles and consumer durables led to an oversupply of goods. As Frederick Lewis Allen notes in his seminal work "Only Yesterday," "The machines were ready to produce, the people were ready to buy on credit, and the national credit was ready to finance both" (Allen, 1931). However, this unsustainable cycle of production and consumption eventually reached its limit, leaving businesses with excess inventory and declining profits.
Furthermore, rampant speculation in the stock market, fueled by easy credit and a get-rich-quick mentality, created a bubble that was bound to burst. Investors, many of whom had little experience in the stock market, engaged in risky practices such as buying on margin, borrowing heavily to purchase stocks in the hope that their prices would continue to rise. When the market finally turned downward in October 1929, the consequences were catastrophic.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while government policies during the 1920s, particularly high tariffs, laissez-faire economics, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policies, contributed to the conditions that led to the Great Crash, they were not the sole cause. Overproduction in key sectors, coupled with rampant stock market speculation, played equally significant roles in setting the stage for the economic collapse. The Great Crash serves as a stark reminder of the complex interplay of factors that can contribute to economic crises and the importance of prudent government policies in mitigating such risks.
Sources
Allen, F. L. (1931). Only yesterday: An informal history of the nineteen-twenties. New York: Harper & Brothers.
Edwards, P. (2000). The Great Depression. Harlow: Pearson Education.
The Great Crash, the Great Depression and the New Deal policies, 1920–41, History Essay.
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Introduction
Briefly introduce the Great Crash and its significance. State the essay's argument, focusing on the role of government policies in comparison to other factors.
Government Policies and the Crash
Laissez-Faire Economics
Explain the principle of laissez-faire and how it manifested in the US during the 1920s. Discuss the lack of banking regulations and its impact on the fragility of the financial system.
Tariff Policies
Analyze the consequences of the Fordney-McCumber Tariff Act. Explain how it stifled international trade and contributed to economic instability.
Monetary Policy
Examine the role of low interest rates in fueling speculation and the practice of buying on margin. Discuss how this contributed to an unsustainable economic bubble.
Other Contributing Factors
Overproduction in Agriculture and Industry
Discuss the factors leading to overproduction in both the agricultural and consumer goods sectors. Explain how this surplus led to falling prices, unemployment, and a decrease in consumer spending.
Share Speculation and Margin Buying
Elaborate on the widespread practice of share speculation and margin buying. Explain how these practices, while not directly caused by government policies, contributed to market volatility and the severity of the crash.
Conclusion
Summarize the key arguments presented in the essay. Reiterate the significance of government policies in contributing to the Great Crash, while acknowledging the role of other factors. Offer a final assessment of the extent to which government policies were responsible.
Extracts from Mark Schemes
How far were government policies during the 1920s responsible for the Great Crash?
Impact of government policies:
- America tried to sell its surplus goods in Europe. However, the Fordney-McCumber Tariff Act of 1922 had led to European countries imposing tariffs on American goods. This meant American goods were too expensive to buy in Europe and, as a result, there was not much trade between America and Europe.
- The laissez-faire policies of the Republican presidents of the 1920s meant that there was little regulation in the economy. Banks were unregulated and even before the crash many went out of business leaving customers with no way of getting their money back. Many banks were small and local rather than national, which meant they had no way of dealing with a shock like the Wall Street Crash.
- Low interest rates encouraged share speculation and the practice of buying on the margin.
Other factors as causes of the Wall Street Crash:
- Overproduction in the agricultural sector – As farming techniques improved, farmers started producing more food. However, the demand for grain fell in America because of Prohibition and changes in tastes in food. There was also less demand from Europeans for food from America, because they were growing their own crops and there was a tariff war.
- Overproduction of consumer goods – By the end of the 1920s, there were too many consumer goods unsold in the USA. Mass production methods led to supply outstripping demand. People who could afford items had already purchased them, such as cars and household gadgets. Also, people in agriculture and the traditional industries, who were on low wages, could not afford consumer goods. This led to workers being laid off, which reduced demand for goods even further.
- Shares and Speculation – The government’s selling of war bonds during World War One meant ordinary people became attracted to investments. Their interest continued in the 1920s, especially when they saw wealthy people making huge profits from buying and selling shares. Many Americans who could ill-afford to lose money became caught up in this disastrous type of speculation. Some people even bought shares ‘on the margin’, i.e., they borrowed money to buy shares and then held on to them until they were worth more than the debt. Then they sold the shares, paid off the original debt and made a profit. Accept any other valid responses.